Archive for August, 2011

In the know on outsourcing?

August 23rd, 2011

The launch of a new all-party group on outsourcing and shared services could offer a more objective assessment of the involvement of the private and third sectors in delivering public services

Throughout the public sector, outsourcing projects are becoming ever more pervasive – following on from the Open Public Services white paper, there has been a glut of local authorities and emergency services teaming up to take their IT and communications needs to the marketplace. Every day, a new announcement, a new tender document, a new relationship forged.

Yet it seems that the media pays most attention to outsourcing projects when they go wrong – government paying over-the-odds for PCs, data leakages in India, computers not being ready on the first day of a school term; these are the situations that capture the imaginations of editors, and subsequently, enter the public consciousness.

What of the gloriously successful cases? The projects that go largely unnoticed, as they quietly add value for all concerned – benefiting not just departmental budgeters, but internal stakeholders, and the all-important service users, all at the same time.

When it goes right, you never hear about it. And that is wrong. There is a need for increased knowledge-sharing of outsourcing successes and how they were achieved. And if it went wrong, why: what were the bad decisions? How could things have been done differently?

The new All-Party Group on Outsourcing and Shared Services addresses an urgent need. A need for an open forum where outsourcing successes and failures are analysed closely, by experts in the field, and findings are presented to government decision makers, and discussed in detail.

Despite the media hyperbole, the majority of government outsourcing projects bring about positive change, which leads to improved services and cost savings. But even projects that perform well can get better. When spending on behalf of the taxpayer, there needs to be a constant drive to be slicker, leaner, and more cost-effective.

Politicians and outsourcers will come together and pool their cognitive resources under the chairmanship of Bob Blackman MP. As well as members of the Conservative, Liberal Democrat and Labour parties, there will be representatives of every facet of the outsourcing industry, provided from the broad-ranging membership base of the National Outsourcing Association.

Our members’ remit is to showcase the methodology of their best practice, providing insights from projects that have been delivered on-time and achieved their objectives, such as improved services or cost savings. They will also get down to the nuts and bolts of projects that didn’t work, presenting candidly on what went wrong and why. This openness will help the government become a savvier consumer of outsourcing services.

Improving dialogue between the outsourcing industry and politicians is the raison d’etre of the group. Bringing an increased transparency to the interactions between outsourcers and Whitehall will help the government spend more wisely, and the outsourcers from the private sector add more value for their number one client.

Source:http://opinion.publicfinance.co.uk/2011/08/in-the-know-on-outsourcing/

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India’s Wipro sees no major impact of global slowdown

August 23rd, 2011

The outsourcing arm of Wipro, India’s No.3 software services exporter, does not foresee a major impact in the near term from the global economic crisis, Nithya Ramkumar, the firm’s business technology officer, told reporters on Tuesday.

Fears of a recession in the United States, which provides India’s outsourcing industry with more than half its revenue, dragged down India’s IT index as much as 3.8 per cent on Friday to its lowest level since November 2009.

Source:http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/tech/software/indias-wipro-sees-no-major-impact-of-global-slowdown/articleshow/9707283.cms

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FY13 is unlikely to see a meltdown as IT outsourcing trends are positive, say analysts.

August 23rd, 2011

After sustained fall over the past few days, IT stocks saw a rebound on Monday and also on Tuesday. In fact the BSE IT index, which hit a 51-week low of 4638 last Friday, saw a strong rally and emerged the biggest gainer among all sectoral indices so far on Tuesday. It rose over 4 per cent while the broader benchmark Sensex gained 1 per cent.

Infosys has gained 4.2 per cent so far on Tuesday while TCS is up 5.66 per cent. Wipro was up less than 1 per cent. Patni Computers rallied 4.5 per cent, Financial Technologies rose 1.5 per cent, HCL Tech rose 1.05 per cent. This showed the rally on the IT basket didn’t have any market-cap bias.

So are the worries around the IT sector really over? Not really, in fact far from it. What has happened is that these stocks have been battered too much too fast over the past few days, and this has triggered a short covering and also some value buying opportunities for investors.

The fact is, however the developed economies deteriorate from here on, Indian IT companies have a more or less guaranteed cash flow waiting for this financial year.

Says Pankaj Pandey, head of research at ICICIdirect, “IT stocks have been beaten down pretty badly in this market correction. We don’t think IT firms will face a lot of margin pressure this year, as IT budgets have already been decided for the year. If at all, they may face some pressure next year, that is FY13.”

However, Ankur Rudra, an analyst with Ambit Capital, said the situation is not that comfortable.

“There is still a chasm between (still high) share prices versus the macro-economy driven concerns regarding IT companies’ performance, guidance and commentary. Our scrubbing of earnings commentaries of enterprise software and hardware vendors, our discussions with US banks and our channel checks point to leading indicators of a visibly worsening spending environment. We maintain sell on Infosys and Wipro, and buy on HCL and TCS,” he said.

Brokerage Sharekhan says in the near term, the macro headwinds will continue to make headlines, which could possibly result in further correction in prices of IT stocks.

“In the last one month, owing to increased uncertainties in the USA and the euro zone (which could lead to another potential slowdown in the IT sector), the BSE IT Index has fallen by around 19 per cent compared with the broader market indices that have fallen by around 14%. Infosys, for instance, has fallen around 19% in the same period,” he said.

“Nevertheless, we believe the recent fall has provided a good opportunity to enter these stocks, especially Infosys, with an attractive risk-reward profile for the next 12-18 months,” it said, adding that it maintains a buy rating on Infosys with a price target of Rs 3,358.

Sanjeev Zarbade of Kotak Securities says frontline IT stocks have been down mainly on the back of expectations that the developed world slipping into recession. Morgan Stanley slashed its global growth forecast for 2011 and 2012, saying the US and the euro zone were “dangerously close to a recession”.

Pinc Research says value proposition of Indian IT firms is strong and the long term growth is intact. In the medium term, the revenue growth might get affected but a crash is unlikely and a rebound in outsourcing is expected to come in main verticals along with support from newer verticals which have adopted outsourcing.

The uncertainties in the west and S&P downgrade of US debt rating have weighed down on IT stocks. The economic concerns are likely to impact the revenue growth and particularly the discretionary IT spending in the medium term as clients may delay decision making.

“But after a medium-term softness, we expect a rebound in the outsourcing activities and FY13 is unlikely to see a meltdown as IT outsourcing trends are positive and the value proposition of Indian IT firms continue to be strong. A bear case will be single digit revenue growth in FY13, which will be similar to growth achieved in FY10 subsequent to the Lehman crisis. But it is unlikely this time that firms will sink to such growth rates. We think there is a long0term potential and the correction has provided an opportunity,” the brokerage said in a note.

“We believe there is a potential of upside in large Indian IT firms and downside is limited. we maintain buy recommendation on Infosys, TCS, Wipro and HCL Tech with a target price of Rs 2,730, Rs 1,100, Rs 382 and Rs 464, respectively,” it said.

(Disclaimer: All information provided on moneyguruindia.com pertaining to investing, stocks, securities must be understood as information and not investment advice. We advise all readers to seek advice from a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions on the basis of any of our content. All reports, analysis, columns, statements or listings featured in the site are not meant to be solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are merely providing information.)

Source:http://www.moneyguruindia.com/article.php?cid=1889&id=4

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DiData boosts revenue

August 23rd, 2011

Dimension Data, which was delisted towards the end of last year after being bought out by Japan-based NTT, for R24 billion, says revenue grew 4.7%, to $1.46 billion, in the quarter to June.
So far, for the first nine months of the year, group revenue is up 13.4% in constant currency to $4.2 billion. Product sales improved by 13.1% and services grew 13.6% year-on-year.
Dimension Data explains growth would have been higher in reported US currency due to the dollar’s relative weakness during the first nine months of the year. Overall, group operating profit for the nine months improved 14.2%, to $203.7 million.
Since the company was delisted from both the JSE and London Stock Exchange towards the end of last year, it is no longer required to publish financial information.
CEO Brett Dawson says the “group achieved an excellent nine months of trading compared to the results of the IT industry in general, and the business continues to show growth from a revenue and profitability point of view over the 2010 financial year”.
In May, Dimension Data rebranded to lose its “arrogant” image and to reposition itself as a service-centric company. Dawson says its services proposition continues to gain traction in the market, and it has won several contracts in managed services and IT outsourcing.
According to global research house Gartner, worldwide end-user spending on IT services grew 3.1% to $793 million last year. “There is little doubt that the effects of the global recession of 2008 and 2009 are still very much being felt, but the market for IT services bounced back in 2010 after a 5.1% revenue decline in 2009,” says Kathryn Hale, research VP.
Dimension Data’s systems integration unit reported revenue 17.7% higher for the first nine months of the year, while operating profit grew 13.3% at an operating margin of 4.3%.
Internet Solutions’ revenue increased 6.9%, with operating profit up 3.3%, and Plessey grew “strongly at both the revenue and operating profit level off a very low base in the prior year,” says Dimension Data.
Slower third quarter
However, Dawson says revenue growth slowed in the third quarter after a strong first half. “Close attention to margins and the cost base has driven the improvement of operating profit up 14.7% in the quarter,” he adds.
In the three months to June, Dimension Data says its services unit grew 10.9%, while product sales were mostly flat, gaining 0.2%. Its gross margin improved 1.4 percentage points to 21.5%.
Gross profit gained 12%, and the company’s operating profit – 14.7% higher year-on-year, reached $74 million.
“We are investing aggressively in expanding the scope of our service offerings – both organically and through acquisitions,” Dawson adds.
During the quarter, Dimension Data bought OpSource to accelerate its cloud strategy. “Our focus on cloud services aligns to our longstanding strategy to become a services-led business,” says Dawson.

Source:http://www.itweb.co.za/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=46428%3Adidata-boosts-revenue&catid=118&Itemid=86

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Commercial Services Sector: Top Buy And Sell Ideas Based On Last Week’s Big Movers

August 23rd, 2011

The commercial services sector was down strongly last week in sympathy with the market fall, and based on fears of a global recession and its impact on corporate spending, and on the margins and profits of companies that provide various kinds of IT, outsourcing and other commercial services to corporations. This article covers our analysis of the big news and price moves in the commercial services sector last week, evaluating them for buy and sell ideas.
Infosys Ltd (INFY), Cognizant Tech (CTSH) and Wipro Ltd (WIT): All three Indian providers of outsourcing services to global corporations, based mainly in North America and Europe, fell strongly last week on fears that a global recession would severely hurt demand for their services. CTSH, a provider of custom IT consulting, technology and outsourcing services, fell the hardest, and was down 14.9% last week after Goldman Sachs removed it from their buy list on Monday morning before the market opened, falling even more sharply during the market downturn on Thursday and Friday. Peer INFY, a provider of software re-engineering, systems integration, infrastructure management and other IT services, fell 11.6%; and another peer WIT, a provider of consulting, IT, outsourced R&D, and infrastructure and BPO outsourcing services, fell 10.1% during the week.
All three generally move in tandem, and have turned down since peaking in late 2010 to early 2011. Of the three, CTSH is down the least, falling 34% since peaking in April, and it is also the one with the strongest growth, with revenue and earnings up 34% and 22% respectively in the June quarter, and projected revenue growth of 23% going forward for FY 2012 over 2011. Comparable growth rates for WIT are at 23% revenue and 0% earnings growth for the June quarter, and forward growth of 15%. INFY grew revenue and earnings at 26% and 21% in the June quarter, and projects forward revenue growth of 18%. All three, however, trade at a comparable forward P/E of 16 for CTSH and WIT, and 14 for INFY. Thus, from a valuation standpoint, CTSH is the most attractive of the three as it trades at the lowest P/E adjusted for growth. Furthermore, based on our review of the holdings of over 60 high alpha hedge and mutual funds (from managers such as Soros, Icahn, and Mario Gabelli), we determined that of these three, guru funds are most bullish about CTSH, holding $593 million after adding a net $38 million in the June quarter, whereas they hold only $1 million of INFY and none of WIT.
International Business Machines (IBM), Accenture Plc (ACN), and Computer Sciences Corp. (CSC): All three are among the largest providers of consulting, IT and BPO services to businesses and government agencies, and they fell strongly last week on no company-specific news, but mimicking the broad sell-off in the markets and due to the possible impact of a deeper recession on consulting and outsourcing revenues. Of the three, ACN dropped the hardest last week, down 13.1%, CSC fell 7.9%, and IBM fell 6.3%. CSC trades the cheapest at a forward 5-6 P/E while revenue growth is in the low single digits at 2%-3% and earnings have been flat to down. IBM in contrast trades at forward 10-11 P/E while earnings growth is in the mid to high teens, and ACN trades at a forward 12-13 P/E while long-term earnings growth has averaged in the low teens.
Thus, from a valuation perspective, IBM is the most attractive based on its low P/E and high relative and consistent growth, and CSC is also somewhat attractive from a deep value standpoint in terms of its extremely low 5-6 P/E even though operating fundamentals are rather poor. Furthermore, of the 60 plus high alpha or guru funds that we track, as a group they are most bullish on IBM, adding a net $278 million during the June quarter to their $709 million prior quarter position in the company. Furthermore, guru funds are bullish on CSC, adding a net $46 million to their $56 million prior quarter position, and they are bearish on ACN, cutting a net $69 million from their $355 million prior quarter position.
Buy Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ): HPQ is currently a provider of IT and outsourcing services, PCs and peripherals, printers and scanners, and servers and storage devices. However, with the announcement late last week of the $10 billion acquisition of European data analytics company Autonomy, and the intent to spin-off its PC division and shut-down its tablet and smartphone business, it is fast morphing into an IBM-kind of software and services model. The street initially rewarded the company with the stock up almost 8% in morning trading Thursday, but panic took over as the market collapsed late Thursday, and the stock ended down almost 8%. Friday, the stock collapsed down over 20% for the day after reporting disappointing forward guidance of $32.1-$32.5 billion in revenue and $1.12-$1.16 in earnings for the October 2011 quarter versus consensus estimates of $33.9 billion and $1.31.
At Friday’s close of $23.60, HPQ looks like a deep value buy, trading at a very reasonable forward 4.4 P/E as earnings are still projected to increase in the mid to high-single digits going forward. However, it is most likely that these forward earnings estimates will be pulled down in the coming weeks as analysts factor in the exit from the PC business into their forward earnings estimates. Even then, we believe that the stock has overreacted to the downside, probably precipitated by weakness in the markets and economy, as well as panic selling by investors who may have been severely disappointed over HP’s plans to exit its core PC business. Furthermore, the stock is approaching a major technical support area in the $21-$23 range that should hold. Looking forward, with HPQ’s transition into an IBM model, it is making a similar transition to what IBM did six years ago in 2005, and a look at IBM’s long-term chart reveals that its stock has more than doubled since it made that transition in 2005. It is conceivable that HPQ may pull together a similar transition, and current shareholders in that case would be handsomely rewarded. Either way, we would be buyers here in the low-$20s as the downside is currently limited based on its attractive valuation, whereas the long-term upside could be huge if the transition is executed well.
Please note that the cumulative price change referred to in the last column of the Table above is used here as a measure of volatility to determine big movers in the group. It equals the sum of the absolute value of the change in daily prices. So, for example, if a security had price moves of 2%, -3%, 4%, -6% and 1% during the five days of the week, the cumulative price change during the week would be the sum of the absolute values of the daily price changes, which in this case would be 16%.
Credit: Historical fundamentals including operating metrics and stock ownership information were derived using SEC filings data, I-Metrix® by Edgar Online®, Zacks Investment Research, Thomson Reuters and Briefing.com. The information and data is believed to be accurate, but no guarantees or representations are made.

Source:http://seekingalpha.com/article/288841-commercial-services-sector-top-buy-and-sell-ideas-based-on-last-week-s-big-movers

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Infosys BPO head sees rev growth of 15-20% this fiscal

August 23rd, 2011

The back-office unit of Infosys expects revenue growth of 15 to 20 percent in the current fiscal year to end-March 2012, the head of its outsourcing arm said on Tuesday.

“Last two years, we have been growing at about 20 percent,” Swami Swaminathan, chief executive of Infosys BPO told Reuters in an interview on the sidelines of an industry conference.

“I think we would be growing anywhere between 15 to 20 percent (this fiscal year).”

Swaminathan said he expects to have net employee additions of 2,500 to 3,000 this fiscal year.

Infosys BPO operates across Asia Pacific, Europe and the Americas with about 19,000 employees and about $427 million in annual revenue as of the last fiscal year that ended in March.

Source:http://www.mydigitalfc.com/it/infosys-bpo-head-sees-rev-growth-15-20-fiscal-168

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Nasscom Keeps Estimate on Industry Export Revenue

August 23rd, 2011

India’s main software trade body Tuesday reiterated its estimate of the industry recording 16%-18% growth in export revenue this fiscal year, despite fears of economic troubles in the main outsourcing markets.
The National Association of Software and Services Companies, or Nasscom, had in February forecast the industry’s export revenue at $68 billion-$70 billion in the fiscal year that started April 1.
“We don’t see any reasons to do it [revise outlook],” Som Mittal, president of the association, told reporters on the sidelines of an industry event. “We had factored in a little bit of uncertainty when we gave the 16%-18% growth outlook.”
Though Mr. Mittal said there was no reason to get worried about the current volatile economic environment, he added that there is a “need to be cautious.”
Mr. Mittal’s comments come after Infosys Ltd., India’s second-largest software exporter by sales, Sunday warned about clients holding back their technology budgets if delays in taking spending decision persist in a weak economic environment.

Source:http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424053111903461304576525622971443418.html

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