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Indian second-largest software company, Infosys, found out last month that sometimes beating expectations on profits isn’t enough to please the markets.
On Wednesday, Cognizant – the US-headquartered competitor that’s making things tough for Indian behemoths like Infosys and Tata Consultancy Services – found out that sometimes projecting double-industry-standard growth just isn’t enough either, when its stock fell 1.75 per cent compared to a 0.41 per cent rise in the Nasdaq. What’s the problem? And what are the lessons for its Indian competitors?
The problem it seems is that Cognizant, after eight straight quarters of outperformance, merely met expectations. It saw a 16.4 per cent rise in net income to $240.1m for the quarter ending in December, on the back of a 26.9 per cent rise in revenues, to $1.66bn, just below the $1.67bn consensus. It forecast a minimum 23 per cent rise in revenues for 2012, to $7.53bn, according to results released on Wednesday.
Analysts told beyondbrics that the company will benefit from an improving economic environment in the US – where it earned nearly 80 per cent of its revenue in the quarter ending in December – but that its growth projection for the coming year, despite its 33 per cent increase in revenues for 2011, might be a tad ambitious, given the overall economic picture.
“Twenty-three per cent minimum guidance is a good number, but for the first quarter of next year, they are guiding at 2.2 per cent which means that the growth rate for the remaining 3 quarters would have to be at 6.8-6.9 per cent,” said Ashish Chopra, analyst at Motilal Oswal. “[That]is a strong number to assume in the current environment.”
But R Chandrasekaran, Cognizant’s chief executive for technology and operations, told beyondbrics that the company was confident that it could maintain much greater growth than the 11-14 per cent projected for the industry during the fiscal year ending in March 2013 by trade group Nasscom.
“We are also entering 2012 with a great deal of confidence stemming from a very loyal customer base,” he said. “The traction we are seeing from some of the new [products] like consulting [and] infrastructure outsourcing… is really helping us.”
Cognizant, which has around three-quarters of its workforce in India, took over from Infosys in the north American market last year. It competes with the “big four” Indian IT services and consulting firms of Wipro, Infosys, TCS and HCL, and overtook Wipro in terms of reveune mid-2011.
Indeed, analysts told beyondbrics that what separates Cognizant from its Indian competitors is the way it reinvests in itself in order to build up the company’s front-end and sales operations.
“They’re much more market facing, their ability to understand clients’ needs is much higher, their ability to connect with clients is much better and they are more business focused,” said Sudin Apte, analyst at Offshore Insights. “That has helped them to bring in better returns.”
When it comes to tough economic times, IT companies like Cognizant can benefit as other companies need to save money, by outsourcing operations that would cost more to do in-house.
“Even if [a customer’s budget] remains flat… in absolute dollars he’s spending same amount on technology but wants to do more with the same budget,” said Chopra. “The only way to do that is to take out costs on the existing work – if it’s being done onsite then you have to move it off-shore, and that directly plays into the hands of the offshore providers.”
“That drives the growth for these guys even during the tough times,” he added.
It’s not necessarily a new lesson – just one that needs to be done better than before as competition increases and the market demands ever-better results.
Source:http://blogs.ft.com/beyond-brics/2012/02/09/cognizant-lessons-for-indian-it/#axzz1lxmYyVXN

